Another problem the US is facing is Iran and its nuclear ambitions. No doubt that Iran is fast tracking the making of the atom bomb. In the region Iran has no enemy to justify the possession of a nuclear bomb but the Israel.

Iran's neighbors are not an immediate threat. Although Pakistan has a nuclear capability but it is not meant to use against Iran, India and Pakistan have had problems since 1948 when they were separated. Pakistan is not a threat to Iran, the other neighbors don't have a nuclear capability. The only reason to have a nuclear bomb is to use against a powerful enemy, in Iran's case Israel. But why is Israel is the enemy in the first place?

Iran had a good relationship with Israel until 1979 when Shah was removed from power by Americans and mullahs were brought in by British. In the heat of the cold-war Shah was not able to stop communism from spreading south from the Soviet Union. Religion is always the best tool to fight bunch of infidels, so Shah was out and mullahs in. But mullahs did not just come to stop the communism, they had their own agenda. To convert the world to Islam.

Every dictatorship in the world needs to have at least two enemies: one domestic, and one foreign; more is better. Domestic enemy is for showing to people constantly who was the regime they were under before or who will be in if they are gone; it is good to blame some of the domestic problems to the regimes in the past or the guy who wants to come in power in the future.

Foreign enemy is to give direction and steer towards a target when a foreign policy collapses. to run a dictatorship you always need to have some one to blame.

When mullahs came to power in 1979 they set an agenda and said in war between Arabs and Israel we support Arabs. Since 1400 years ago and the constant attack by Arabs to Iran, Iranians have no interest in Arab world. Although the culture, language, art, architect, and many more influenced by Arabs; Iranians were at no position to choose between Arabs and Israelis. During the Shah's reign, Iranians became very patriotic and nationalistic. Suddenly by toppling over Shah and bringing mullahs, Iranians were not at a position to support Arabs against anyone.

If mullahs of Iran were too supportive of Moslems in against suppression, they would have openly supported Chechnya's Moslems against Russians the way they do it with Palestinians and Israel. Mullahs are supporting Chechens un-openly.

Through religion Iranians were told Israel is enemy and must fight with. Over night Israel became number one enemy before US did. So there goes the enemies a dictatorship needs to have, Shah the domestic enemy and Israel the foreign enemy.

After the collapse of cold-war it was time to make changes to the region, but US was busy with other problems and British had no problem of mullahs to be in power. British have always interfered with changing Iran's leadership, Americans have arrived in past 50 years or so to influence other countries. The presence of British in Iran and their influence in changing government goes back about 400 years when they unsuccessfully tried to colonies Iran.

Now, failed to get them off the power, mullahs have decided to go a different way and become superpower in the region in the absence of leadership in US and the disagreements with the British over the future of Iran. The leadership in US failed to recognize the role of Iran in Afghanistan and Iraq. Iran played a critical role in giving a safe passage to Taliban members to execute their plans on September 11. Mullahs also gave a safe haven to Taliban when they escape US attacks in Afghanistan.

In Iraq mullahs gave Saddam a safe place to store his WMDs, and supported Sadr and his followers to attack US solders. Although British sorted the problem in Najaf with Sadr for the moment, but Fallujah seems a new battleground for mullahs to fight Americans by proxy. Sadr, Abu Mosab Al-Zarqawi, and many more alike are proxies used by mullahs to fight Americans. Iran needs to create these distractions for Americans so it can continue to produce a nuclear bomb.

It is now clear that in 4 to 6 months time Israel will attack Iran and bomb its nuclear sites. The reelection of Bush has paved the way for Israelis to take a rather prevocational approach towards Iran and Palestinians.

Such attack like those we witnessed in Afghanistan and Iraq will not happen in Iran, but US is determined to make some changes in this region. How drastic the changes would be and if they would result in government changes in Iran would depend on agreement between the US and Britain. British want for long-term benefits to keep mullahs in Iran, and US needs to end the problem in Iraq and have a stronger foothold in region.

When Americans accept the fact that they are indirectly at war with Iran and it is the mullahs that are causing problem in Iraq depends on how deep Americans want to get involved in Iran and how they agree with British over Iran. It is essential for the US to end the problems in Iraq, the road to that target passes through Iran. The answer remains with mullahs and their future. British, Germans, and French are in favor of keeping them in power; but Americans want them out. How the deals are done and how satisfactory the negotiations are will determine the future of mullahs.

To remain in power, it is very much possible to give bribes such as contracts or offer cheap oil to the main players similar to those Saddam gave on last days of his reign to Russians, French, and Germans. How long mullahs will remain depends on US and British. British believe by stopping Iran from achieving a nuclear power they can bring peace into region and show mullahs that they are serious, using possibly Israel to destroy Iran's nuclear sites.

Americans want a quick-fix they want an end in violence in Iraq, and they can achieve it by fixing the problem with mullahs. In some areas and short-term solution probably British and Americans have some common grounds, but when it comes to a long-term solution they are far from each other. Perhaps British think if there is a war between Israel and Iran they would benefit, as they did in Kuwait. When Saddam destroyed Kuwait and the Kuwait City who did those rich Arabs turned into to buy everything from bricks, nails, cement, to other structural products? If Iran or Israel are destroyed in someway, both countries will need to rebuild, and who is going to sell them what they need? British of course.

What ever the decision will be it will hurt the Iranians no matter what. I mullahs are to remain in power it is the people will suffer under their dictatorship; and if they are to go, they won't go easily. They will fight to stay as Saddam did, as Taliban did. The future changes will scar innocents. We hope whatever the changes are they be quick.